Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Vlado Jankanj
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Pedro Vives Marcos; the market gives 79% to Pedro Vives Marcos (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Pedro Vives Marcos with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Vlado Jankanj has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Vives Marcos 1523 · Vlado Jankanj 1471
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Vlado Jankanj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1523 vs 1471).
- Note: Pedro Vives Marcos makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Vlado Jankanj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.6 | 11-10.7 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Vives Marcos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Valerio Bracci M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/03 | Antoni Fabre M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 04/01 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 30/10 | Dan Added Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 26/10 | Omar Knani Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/10 | Eero Vasa Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Vlado Jankanj
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sergej Zivkovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Novak Novakovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Oscar Brown M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Aleksa Pisaric M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Vives Marcos vs Vlado Jankanj?
Our model gives 70% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.