Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Isabella Kruger vs Ksenia Smirnova
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Isabella Kruger; the market gives 77% to Isabella Kruger (odds 1.22).
On recent form, Isabella Kruger is 9-1 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ksenia Smirnova 7-3 over theirs.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Kruger 1576 · Ksenia Smirnova 1555
| Isabella Kruger | Ksenia Smirnova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Isabella Kruger makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Ksenia Smirnova makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Isabella Kruger | Ksenia Smirnova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-7.3 | 10.5-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Kruger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Mika Buchnik W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Lan Mi W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Elena Jamshidi W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Jana Bozinovska Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/04 | Salma Loudili Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/04 | Yasmin Ezzat Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/04 | Denislava Glushkova Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Ksenia Smirnova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Danielle Dai Chapman W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Nelise Verster W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Anastasiya Krymkova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/05 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Elizaveta Gurianova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/05 | Chrystal Lopez W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Kruger vs Ksenia Smirnova?
Our model gives 66% to Isabella Kruger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.