Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Isabella Kruger vs Mika Buchnik
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Isabella Kruger; the market gives 83% to Isabella Kruger (odds 1.13).
Over their last 10 matches, Isabella Kruger sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Mika Buchnik arrives on a 5-5 run.
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Kruger 1570 · Mika Buchnik 1535
| Isabella Kruger | Mika Buchnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Isabella Kruger makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Mika Buchnik makes many double faults (9.8/match).
Statistics
| Isabella Kruger | Mika Buchnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.4 | 11.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 9.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 63.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Kruger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Lan Mi W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Elena Jamshidi W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Jana Bozinovska Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/04 | Salma Loudili Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/04 | Yasmin Ezzat Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/04 | Denislava Glushkova Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/03 | Iulia Andreea Ionescu UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Mika Buchnik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Michelle Dzjachangirova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Isabella Wong W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/05 | Elena Jamshidi W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Lan Mi W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Maayan Laron W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 03/05 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/03 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Kruger vs Mika Buchnik?
Our model gives 70% to Isabella Kruger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.