Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Astrid Cirotte vs Valentini Grammatikopoulou
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Valentini Grammatikopoulou; the market gives 75% to Valentini Grammatikopoulou (odds 1.25).
Recent form leaves Astrid Cirotte with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Valentini Grammatikopoulou has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Astrid Cirotte 1499 · Valentini Grammatikopoulou 1530
| Astrid Cirotte | Valentini Grammatikopoulou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Astrid Cirotte makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Astrid Cirotte | Valentini Grammatikopoulou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.9 | 9.6-8.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Astrid Cirotte
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Samaira Pahwa W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Roxy Bredenkamp W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Isabella Kruger W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Virginia Crocker W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 17/04 | Victoria Mulville W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/04 | Selina Atay W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/04 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Anastasiia Firman W15 Le Havre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Donna Le Roux W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Celina Joseph W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Federica Sacco W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Nina Vargova W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Ksenia Krupenina W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Mariana Franca W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/05 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Armine Yesaian W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Astrid Cirotte vs Valentini Grammatikopoulou?
Our model gives 66% to Valentini Grammatikopoulou, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.