Tennis · W15 Astana · 10/07, 07:00
Prediction: Maria Sholokhova vs Kristina Kroitor
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Kristina Kroitor; the market gives 50% to Kristina Kroitor (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Maria Sholokhova is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kristina Kroitor 8-2 over theirs.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sholokhova 1523 · Kristina Kroitor 1639
| Maria Sholokhova | Kristina Kroitor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Kroitor (rating 1523 vs 1639).
- Kristina Kroitor is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Sholokhova makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Maria Sholokhova | Kristina Kroitor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.8 | 12.6-6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sholokhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Piper Charney W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Anna Rogers W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Victoria Hu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Ana Grubor W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Basant Kaur W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 23/05 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Kristina Kroitor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Anna Bazderova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 30/05 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Alisa Danilova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/05 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/05 | Ani Amiraghyan W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/05 | Vasilisa Taranova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sholokhova vs Kristina Kroitor?
Our model gives 57% to Kristina Kroitor, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.