Tennis · W15 Astana · 10/07, 07:00
Prediction: Kamonwan Yodpetch vs Gaeul Jang
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Gaeul Jang; the market gives 59% to Gaeul Jang (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Kamonwan Yodpetch sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Gaeul Jang arrives on a 8-2 run.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamonwan Yodpetch 1520 · Gaeul Jang 1581
| Kamonwan Yodpetch | Gaeul Jang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaeul Jang (rating 1520 vs 1581).
- Note: Gaeul Jang makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kamonwan Yodpetch | Gaeul Jang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.8 | 12.4-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 61.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamonwan Yodpetch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Zeel Desai W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kanon Sawashiro W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Anchisa Chanta W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Chiara Di Tommaso W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/05 | Yuhan Liu W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Gyeong Seo Lee W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Tanuchaporn Yongmod W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Gaeul Jang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Albina Kakenova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Ying Zhang W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Sara Yoshida W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Aishi Das W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Himari Sato W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamonwan Yodpetch vs Gaeul Jang?
Our model gives 59% to Gaeul Jang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.