Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 10/07, 09:00
Prediction: Anton Arzhankin vs Alessandro Bellifemine
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Anton Arzhankin; the market gives 77% to Anton Arzhankin (odds 1.22).
Recent form leaves Anton Arzhankin with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Alessandro Bellifemine has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anton Arzhankin 1555 · Alessandro Bellifemine 1520
| Anton Arzhankin | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Anton Arzhankin | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.6 | 10-9 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anton Arzhankin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Simeon Stankovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Sean Cuenin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Dusan Bazdar M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Alexander Vasilev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Leon Peranovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alessandro Bellifemine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Stefan Kostic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Simone Massucco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/04 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/12 | Arda Azkara M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/12 | Alp Horoz M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anton Arzhankin vs Alessandro Bellifemine?
Our model gives 67% to Anton Arzhankin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.