Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 10/07, 09:00

Prediction: Antoni Fabre vs Dusan Obradovic

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Dusan Obradovic; the market gives 83% to Dusan Obradovic (odds 1.13).

Over their last 10 matches, Antoni Fabre sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Dusan Obradovic arrives on a 6-4 run.

72%2
28% 72%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antoni Fabre 1499 · Dusan Obradovic 1565
Antoni FabreDusan Obradovic
Our model41%59%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Obradovic (rating 1499 vs 1565).
  • Head-to-head: Antoni Fabre 0–1 Dusan Obradovic (1).

Statistics

Antoni FabreDusan Obradovic
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.3-0.7
Games (G-P)8.7-9.89.9-7.3
Aces0.52.1
Double faults1.81.7
1st serve %60.5%70.6%
Break %48.1%38.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

H2H · Antoni Fabre 01 Dusan Obradovic (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Antoni Fabre 01 Dusan Obradovic

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DateSetsGamesRes.
12/02/25
M15 Antalya
1-214-14L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antoni Fabre

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Michael Minasyan
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
09/06 Cesar Stefan Bentzel
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
29/04 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/04 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Angers · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
22/04 Sander Jong
M25 Angers · ~Clay
1-0 6-5 W
20/04 Thomas Gimenez
M25 Angers · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
19/04 Victor Barrere
M25 Angers · ~Clay
2-1 12-11 W
26/03 Pavel Lagutin
M25 Tarragona · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/03 Pedro Vives Marcos
M25 Tarragona · ~Clay
2-1 14-14 W

Dusan Obradovic

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Aaron Gil Garcia
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/07 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
04/07 Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
02/07 Milos Mikovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 George Lazarov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-0 6-2 W
10/06 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
31/05 Marek Gengel
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
30/05 Josip Simundza
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
29/05 Alen Mujakic
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
28/05 Sven Corbinais
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antoni Fabre vs Dusan Obradovic?

Our model gives 72% to Dusan Obradovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.