Tennis · W75 The Hague · 09/07, 15:00
Prediction: Diletta Cherubini vs Jenny Lim
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Jenny Lim; the market gives 58% to Jenny Lim (odds 1.61).
Recent form leaves Diletta Cherubini with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Jenny Lim has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diletta Cherubini 1445 · Jenny Lim 1533
| Diletta Cherubini | Jenny Lim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jenny Lim (rating 1445 vs 1533).
- Jenny Lim is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Jenny Lim makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Diletta Cherubini | Jenny Lim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.3 | 10.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 51.4% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diletta Cherubini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Toma W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Tatiana Pieri WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/06 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Alice Rame W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Ayana Akli W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/05 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/04 | Hanyu Guo WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Jenny Lim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Martina Colmegna W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Rikke De Koning W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Madelief Hageman W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Sofya Lansere W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Liv Boulard W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Alina Granwehr W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Oana Georgeta Simion W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diletta Cherubini vs Jenny Lim?
Our model gives 60% to Jenny Lim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.