Tennis · W75 The Hague · 09/07, 13:30
Prediction: Eva Vedder vs Weronika Falkowska
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Eva Vedder; the market gives 56% to Eva Vedder (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Eva Vedder sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Weronika Falkowska arrives on a 8-2 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Vedder 1619 · Weronika Falkowska 1619
| Eva Vedder | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Eva Vedder | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 89% (9) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.1 | 12.2-7.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Vedder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Han Shi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Martha Matoula W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Laura Svatikova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Carolina Alves W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivana Sebestova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Daria Gorska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Sara Husar W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Vedder vs Weronika Falkowska?
Our model gives 53% to Eva Vedder, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.