Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 09/07, 11:00
Prediction: Indianna Spink vs Hanne Vandewinkel
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Indianna Spink; the market gives 84% to Hanne Vandewinkel (odds 1.11).
On recent form, Indianna Spink is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Hanne Vandewinkel 4-6 over theirs.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Indianna Spink 1560 · Hanne Vandewinkel 1479
| Indianna Spink | Hanne Vandewinkel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Indianna Spink (rating 1560 vs 1479).
- Indianna Spink is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Indianna Spink makes many double faults (9.5/match).
Statistics
| Indianna Spink | Hanne Vandewinkel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (1) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-9.6 | 9.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3 |
| Double faults | 9.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Indianna Spink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/07 | Miroslava Medvedeva W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Aurora Urso W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Elena Micic W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Hanne Vandewinkel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/06 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | Mona Barthel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Kayla Day WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Madison Keys French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Panna Udvardy WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Indianna Spink vs Hanne Vandewinkel?
Our model gives 64% to Hanne Vandewinkel, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.