Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 09/07, 11:00

Prediction: Han Shi vs Deniz Dilek

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Han Shi; the market gives 71% to Han Shi (odds 1.33).

On recent form, Han Shi is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Deniz Dilek 8-2 over theirs.

63%1
63% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Han Shi 1612 · Deniz Dilek 1591
Han ShiDeniz Dilek
Our model53%47%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.4/match).
  • Note: Deniz Dilek makes many double faults (6.8/match).

Statistics

Han ShiDeniz Dilek
Win %80%90%
Win % · Hard 83% (6) 86% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.8-0.4
Games (G-P)11.7-7.511.8-6.6
Aces2.55
Double faults4.46.8
1st serve %69.3%72.7%
Break %59%57.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Han Shi

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Gabriela Knutson
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 Matilde Jorge
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
04/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
03/07 Katarina Kuzmova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
02/07 Elena Micic
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
01/07 Madalena Matias
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
26/06 Eva Vedder
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
25/06 Tiphanie Lemaitre
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
19/06 Jiaqi Wang
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Deniz Dilek

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Valeria Savinykh
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-7 W
06/07 Clara Vlasselaer
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 14-9 W
05/07 Aaddi Gupta
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Alana Subasic
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/06 Minel Naz Kaynak
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Daria Lokotkova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
07/06 Ann Akasha Ceuca
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
06/06 Alana Subasic
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
05/06 Irem Kurt
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
04/06 Polina Skopintseva
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Deniz Dilek?

Our model gives 63% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.