Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 09/07, 11:00

Prediction: Rina Saigo vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Carol Young Suh Lee; the market gives 79% to Carol Young Suh Lee (odds 1.17).

On recent form, Rina Saigo is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Carol Young Suh Lee 5-5 over theirs.

67%2
33% 67%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rina Saigo 1517 · Carol Young Suh Lee 1530
Rina SaigoCarol Young Suh Lee
Our model48%52%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Carol Young Suh Lee dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 56.2% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Rina Saigo 1–0 Carol Young Suh Lee (1).

Statistics

Rina SaigoCarol Young Suh Lee
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.3-1
Games (G-P)10.9-10.410.8-9.7
Aces1.66.2
Double faults2.43.5
1st serve %58.1%66.4%
Break %62.1%56.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

H2H · Rina Saigo 10 Carol Young Suh Lee (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rina Saigo 10 Carol Young Suh Lee

Swipe the table sideways →

DateSetsGamesRes.
26/06/25
W35 Taipei
2-113-13W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rina Saigo

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Elyse Tse
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-6 W
17/06 Tiana Tian Deng
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
10/06 Ekaterina Maklakova
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
06/06 Yufei Ren
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
05/06 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
04/06 Jiaqi Wang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
02/06 Eunhye Lee
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/05 Haruka Kaji
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/05 Sohyun Park
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
1-1 7-6 W
19/05 Yufei Ren
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Carol Young Suh Lee

WWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-10 W
04/07 Han Shi
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
1-2 12-13 L
03/07 Nao Hibino
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 13-16 L
06/06 Lin Zhu
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
1-2 11-16 L
18/05 Sloane Stephens
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Sada Nahimana
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/05 Julia Avdeeva
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rina Saigo vs Carol Young Suh Lee?

Our model gives 67% to Carol Young Suh Lee, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.