Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 09/07, 11:00

Prediction: Anastasia Kulikova vs Chloe Noel

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Anastasia Kulikova; the market gives 81% to Anastasia Kulikova (odds 1.14).

Recent form leaves Anastasia Kulikova with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Chloe Noel has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

68%1
68% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anastasia Kulikova 1545 · Chloe Noel 1536
Anastasia KulikovaChloe Noel
Our model51%49%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Chloe Noel makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Anastasia KulikovaChloe Noel
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.3-1.2
Games (G-P)10.7-7.611.8-11.1
Aces2.12.7
Double faults1.94.4
1st serve %64.2%60%
Break %39.9%50.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anastasia Kulikova

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Ella Seidel
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-5 W
06/07 Raquel Gonzalez Vilar
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-1 W
05/07 Francisca Laundes
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-2 W
02/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Manon Leonard
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/06 Alina Charaeva
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Mai Hontama
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
15/06 Momoko Kobori
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
14/06 Polina Isakova
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Matilde Jorge
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Chloe Noel

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Matilde Jorge
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 15-14 W
06/07 Andre Lukosiute
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 16-12 W
05/07 Emilija Tverijonaite
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Min Liu
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
21/06 Valentina Carreras Medina
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
18/06 Mia Slama
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
16/06 Clemence Lesdos
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
2-1 16-6 W
10/06 Margaux Komano
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/06 Andre Lukosiute
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
05/06 Maria Andrienko
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anastasia Kulikova vs Chloe Noel?

Our model gives 68% to Anastasia Kulikova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.