Tennis · W75 The Hague · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur; the market gives 65% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Zhibek Kulambayeva with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has piled up 9-1 in the same span.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhibek Kulambayeva 1538 · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1605
| Zhibek Kulambayeva | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1538 vs 1605).
Statistics
| Zhibek Kulambayeva | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.2 | 11.3-6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhibek Kulambayeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Marie Vogt W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Amelie Van Impe W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Hanna Jankowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Valeriia Artemeva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Lian Tran W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Barbora Palicova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Julie Pastikova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Ivana Sebestova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Amy Sucha W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur?
Our model gives 62% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.