Tennis · W15 Astana · 09/07, 07:00
Prediction: Maria Sholokhova vs Sera Nishimoto
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Maria Sholokhova; the market gives 86% to Maria Sholokhova (odds 1.10).
On recent form, Maria Sholokhova is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sera Nishimoto 4-6 over theirs.
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sholokhova 1529 · Sera Nishimoto 1499
| Maria Sholokhova | Sera Nishimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Sholokhova makes many double faults (7.4/match).
- Note: Sera Nishimoto makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Maria Sholokhova | Sera Nishimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.2 | 9.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 64.2% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sholokhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Piper Charney W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Anna Rogers W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Victoria Hu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Ana Grubor W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Basant Kaur W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 23/05 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Carolyn Schaefer UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Sera Nishimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Yujin Kim W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Yui Chikaraishi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Arina Varaksina W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Onyu Choi W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Ji Min Park W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Kisa Yoshioka W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sholokhova vs Sera Nishimoto?
Our model gives 71% to Maria Sholokhova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.