Tennis · W15 Astana · 09/07, 07:00

Prediction: Shruti Ahlawat vs Ekaterina Maklakova

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Shruti Ahlawat; the market gives 66% to Ekaterina Maklakova (odds 1.40).

Recent form leaves Shruti Ahlawat with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Ekaterina Maklakova has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

55%2
45% 55%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shruti Ahlawat 1574 · Ekaterina Maklakova 1518
Shruti AhlawatEkaterina Maklakova
Our model58%42%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shruti Ahlawat (rating 1574 vs 1518).
  • Note: Ekaterina Maklakova makes many double faults (6.3/match).

Statistics

Shruti AhlawatEkaterina Maklakova
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 86% (7) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.3-1
Games (G-P)11.5-8.810.8-9.8
Aces3.83.5
Double faults3.96.3
1st serve %71.7%62.1%
Break %60.3%54.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shruti Ahlawat

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Aleksandra Khomitskaya
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
03/05 Zuzanna Kolonus
W15 New Delhi · ~Hard
2-1 16-17 W
01/05 Zeel Desai
W15 New Delhi · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
30/04 Soha Sadiq
W15 New Delhi · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
29/04 Saumya Vig
W15 New Delhi · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
25/04 Michika Ozeki
W15 Panipat · ~Hard
1-2 13-13 L
23/04 Tejsavi Dabas
W15 Panipat · ~Hard
2-0 7-0 W
21/04 Soha Sadiq
W15 Panipat · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
24/02 Tejasvi Dabas
W15 Gurugram
0-1 7-9 L
17/02 Vaishnavi Adkar
W100 Bengaluru
0-2 7-13 L

Ekaterina Maklakova

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Sonal Patil
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
17/06 Rinko Matsuda
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 3-10 L
11/06 Yujia Huang
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
10/06 Rina Saigo
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
08/06 Peangtarn Plipuech
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/06 Xiaowei Li
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/06 Hong Yi Cody Wong
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
31/05 Shiyu Ye
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 11-6 W
17/05 Camilla Zanolini
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L
16/05 Elina Nepliy
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shruti Ahlawat vs Ekaterina Maklakova?

Our model gives 55% to Ekaterina Maklakova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.