Tennis · W15 Astana · 09/07, 07:00
Prediction: Edda Mamedova vs Gaeul Jang
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Gaeul Jang; the market gives 59% to Edda Mamedova (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Edda Mamedova sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Gaeul Jang arrives on a 8-2 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edda Mamedova 1537 · Gaeul Jang 1557
| Edda Mamedova | Gaeul Jang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Edda Mamedova | Gaeul Jang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.3 | 12.5-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 61.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edda Mamedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Kristina Belkova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/06 | Victoria Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 29/05 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Lina Glushko W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/02 | Savannah Broadus W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/02 | Ava Markham W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 03/12 | Olga Danilova UTR Pro Dubai Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/12 | Daria Yesypchuk UTR Pro Dubai Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/11 | Maria Golovina UTR Pro Dubai Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/11 | Zinovia Vaneva UTR Pro Dubai Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Gaeul Jang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Albina Kakenova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Ying Zhang W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Sara Yoshida W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Aishi Das W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Himari Sato W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edda Mamedova vs Gaeul Jang?
Our model gives 54% to Edda Mamedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.