Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 09/07, 09:00
Prediction: Titouan Droguet vs Luka Pavlovic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Titouan Droguet; the market gives 69% to Titouan Droguet (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Titouan Droguet with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Luka Pavlovic has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Titouan Droguet 1513 · Luka Pavlovic 1497
| Titouan Droguet | Luka Pavlovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Luka Pavlovic makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Titouan Droguet | Luka Pavlovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.7 | 12.3-12.4 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 11.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Jerome Kym Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Raphael Collignon Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Terence Atmane Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/05 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Luka Pavlovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Mark Lajal Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 22/05 | Darwin Blanch French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Tomas Barrios Vera French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Titouan Droguet vs Luka Pavlovic?
Our model gives 61% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.