Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 08/07, 09:00
Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Olle Wallin
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Olle Wallin; the market gives 75% to Valentin Royer (odds 1.25).
Recent form leaves Valentin Royer with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Olle Wallin has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Royer 1496 · Olle Wallin 1580
| Valentin Royer | Olle Wallin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1496 vs 1580).
- Olle Wallin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Olle Wallin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.9 | 12.7-8.7 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Harry Wendelken Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Novak Djokovic French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 24/05 | Hugo Dellien French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Francisco Comesana ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Harold Huens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Olle Wallin?
Our model gives 58% to Valentin Royer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.