Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 08/07, 09:00
Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Gustavo Heide; the market gives 69% to Gustavo Heide (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Cezar Cretu sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Gustavo Heide arrives on a 7-3 run.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1532 · Gustavo Heide 1594
| Cezar Cretu | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gustavo Heide (rating 1532 vs 1594).
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.7 | 12.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/05 | Radu Albot Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/05 | Liam Broady Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Gustavo Heide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide?
Our model gives 64% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.