Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 08/07, 09:00

Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Jerome Kym; the market gives 69% to Jerome Kym (odds 1.36).

Over their last 10 matches, Jerome Kym sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg arrives on a 3-7 run.

63%1
63% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1525 · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1485
Jerome KymSascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Our model56%44%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerome Kym (rating 1525 vs 1485).
  • Head-to-head: Jerome Kym 2–0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (2).
  • Note: Jerome Kym makes many double faults (4.1/match).
  • Note: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Jerome KymSascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.30.9-1.5
Games (G-P)14.2-13.211.3-12.9
Aces10.38.2
Double faults4.14.7
1st serve %75.5%69.5%
Break %37.6%33.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.6

H2H · Jerome Kym 20 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jerome Kym 20 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/09/22
ITF M25 Plaisir
2-117-15W
03/09/22
ITF M25 Setubal
2-012-8W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jerome Kym

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-1 14-8 W
25/06 Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 28-27 L
24/06 August Holmgren
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 Gonzalo Bueno
Wimbledon · Grass
2-1 17-12 W
17/06 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 16-16 L
16/06 Thanasi Kokkinakis
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-1 13-16 W
26/05 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
19/05 Tom Gentzsch
French Open · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/03 Michiel de Krom
Challenger Kigali · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
03/03 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Kigali · Clay
2-1 18-15 W

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Alexander Donski
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
03/07 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
29/06 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
24/06 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Gabriel Ghetu
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
09/06 Clement Tabur
Challenger Lyon · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
02/06 Sebastian Baez
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/05 Borna Gojo
French Open · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/05 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger Tunis · Clay
1-2 17-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?

Our model gives 63% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.