Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs Maks Kasnikowski
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Maks Kasnikowski; the market gives 49% to Maks Kasnikowski (odds 1.91).
Over their last 10 matches, Pedro Martinez sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Maks Kasnikowski arrives on a 8-2 run.
| Pedro Martinez | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pedro Martinez 1–0 Maks Kasnikowski (1).
Statistics
| Pedro Martinez | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.4 | 12.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 34.9% |
H2H · Pedro Martinez 1 – 0 Maks Kasnikowski (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Martinez 1–0 Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/24 US Open | 3-2 | 28-22 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Emilio Nava French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Arthur Fery French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 19/05 | Rei Sakamoto French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Federico Cina Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 51% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.