Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Jahnie Van Zyl vs Michika Ozeki
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Jahnie Van Zyl; the market gives 66% to Jahnie Van Zyl (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Jahnie Van Zyl sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Michika Ozeki arrives on a 3-7 run.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jahnie Van Zyl 1530 · Michika Ozeki 1467
| Jahnie Van Zyl | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jahnie Van Zyl (rating 1530 vs 1467).
- Jahnie Van Zyl is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jahnie Van Zyl | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.9 | 9.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 53.7% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jahnie Van Zyl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Emma Van Poppel W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Polina Leykina W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Shelly Krolitzky W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/05 | Miriana Tona W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/05 | Jordina Font W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/04 | Maria Sakkari Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Maria Sakkari Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Sara Mitevska Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/04 | Yasmine Kabbaj Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/04 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Michika Ozeki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Milla Kotze W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Jiangxue Han W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Zhuoxuan Bai W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Meiling Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Jiayu Xu W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/05 | Ksenia Laskutova W35 Tumkur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Aditi Rawat W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jahnie Van Zyl vs Michika Ozeki?
Our model gives 63% to Jahnie Van Zyl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.