Tennis · W75 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Iva Primorac Pavicic vs Lia Karatancheva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Lia Karatancheva; the market gives 51% to Iva Primorac Pavicic (odds 1.80).
Over their last 10 matches, Iva Primorac Pavicic sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Lia Karatancheva arrives on a 7-3 run.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Primorac Pavicic 1533 · Lia Karatancheva 1551
| Iva Primorac Pavicic | Lia Karatancheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Iva Primorac Pavicic | Lia Karatancheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.6 | 11.1-6.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 59.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Primorac Pavicic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Sevil Yuldasheva W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Elina Avanesyan W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Rositsa Dencheva W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-0 | 9-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Rebecca Sramkova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Miriam Bulgaru W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lia Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Daniela Vismane W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Joy De Zeeuw W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucie Urbanova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Gabriela Gregorczyk W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Cagla Buyukakcay W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Primorac Pavicic vs Lia Karatancheva?
Our model gives 50% to Iva Primorac Pavicic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.