Tennis · W75 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Eva Vedder vs Nina Vargova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Eva Vedder; the market gives 46% to Eva Vedder (odds 2.00).
Over their last 10 matches, Eva Vedder sits at 10-0 (W-L), while Nina Vargova arrives on a 9-1 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Vedder 1638 · Nina Vargova 1558
| Eva Vedder | Nina Vargova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Vedder (rating 1638 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Eva Vedder | Nina Vargova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.3 | 12.4-6.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 64% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Vedder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Han Shi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Martha Matoula W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Laura Svatikova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Cagla Buyukakcay W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Nina Vargova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jade Groen W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Daria Egorova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Shkutova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Soha Sadiq W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Vedder vs Nina Vargova?
Our model gives 53% to Eva Vedder, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.