Tennis · W75 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Antonia Stoyanov
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Antonia Stoyanov; the market gives 66% to Alena Kovackova (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Alena Kovackova is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Antonia Stoyanov 7-3 over theirs.
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1568 · Antonia Stoyanov 1573
| Alena Kovackova | Antonia Stoyanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alena Kovackova | Antonia Stoyanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-6.4 | 10.4-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Josy Daems W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Mirjana Jovanovic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Valeriya Strakhova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Antonia Stoyanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Victoria Allen W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Marie Vogt W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Margaux Maquet W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Mavie Osterreicher W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Vicky Van De Peer W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Polona Hercog W75 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Antonia Stoyanov?
Our model gives 59% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.