Tennis · W75 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Isis Louise Van den Broek

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur; the market gives 71% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (odds 1.33).

Recent form leaves Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Isis Louise Van den Broek has piled up 7-3 in the same span.

63%1
63% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1578 · Isis Louise Van den Broek 1554
Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurIsis Louise Van den Broek
Our model53%47%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurIsis Louise Van den Broek
Win %80%60%
Win % · Clay 75% (8) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.4-0.9
Games (G-P)10.6-6.810.9-9.2
Aces0.60.3
Double faults12.5
1st serve %61.2%59.4%
Break %48.8%61.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Lian Tran
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Charlotte Van Zonneveld
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-1 W
25/06 Barbora Palicova
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
24/06 Lia Karatancheva
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W
21/06 Julie Pastikova
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
20/06 Alena Kovackova
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
19/06 Weronika Falkowska
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/06 Ivana Sebestova
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Amy Sucha
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
20/05 Isabella Maria Serban
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L

Isis Louise Van den Broek

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Weronika Falkowska
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Marie Weckerle
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
28/06 Margaux Maquet
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-1 15-12 W
28/06 Lian Tran
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 11-6 W
26/06 Irina Balus
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
25/06 Marente Sijbesma
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Joy De Zeeuw
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Vivian Wolff
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
1-2 9-13 L
19/05 Oana Georgeta Simion
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
14/05 Cagla Buyukakcay
W35 Bastad · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Isis Louise Van den Broek?

Our model gives 63% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.