Prediction: Nuria Brancaccio vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Zhibek Kulambayeva; the market gives 63% to Nuria Brancaccio (odds 1.50).
Over their last 10 matches, Nuria Brancaccio sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Zhibek Kulambayeva arrives on a 5-5 run.
| Nuria Brancaccio | Zhibek Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhibek Kulambayeva (rating 1438 vs 1529).
- Zhibek Kulambayeva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nuria Brancaccio 1–0 Zhibek Kulambayeva (1).
Statistics
| Nuria Brancaccio | Zhibek Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-12.9 | 11.7-9 |
| Aces | 7 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 52.9% |
H2H · Nuria Brancaccio 1 – 0 Zhibek Kulambayeva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuria Brancaccio 1–0 Zhibek Kulambayeva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/21 W15 Antalya | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Victoria Bosio WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Kaitlin Quevedo French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Taylor Townsend WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Anna Blinkova WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Zhibek Kulambayeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Marie Vogt W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Amelie Van Impe W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Hanna Jankowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Valeriia Artemeva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Laura Hietaranta W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuria Brancaccio vs Zhibek Kulambayeva?
Our model gives 51% to Nuria Brancaccio, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.