Tennis · W15 Astana · 08/07, 07:00
Prediction: Edda Mamedova vs Kristina Belkova
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Edda Mamedova; the market gives 79% to Edda Mamedova (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Edda Mamedova with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Kristina Belkova has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edda Mamedova 1556 · Kristina Belkova 1473
| Edda Mamedova | Kristina Belkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edda Mamedova (rating 1556 vs 1473).
- Note: Kristina Belkova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Edda Mamedova | Kristina Belkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.4 | 8-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edda Mamedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Victoria Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 29/05 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Lina Glushko W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/02 | Savannah Broadus W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/02 | Ava Markham W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 03/12 | Olga Danilova UTR Pro Dubai Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/12 | Daria Yesypchuk UTR Pro Dubai Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/11 | Maria Golovina UTR Pro Dubai Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/11 | Zinovia Vaneva UTR Pro Dubai Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/11 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen UTR Pro Dubai Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kristina Belkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Vasilisa Taranova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Ani Amiraghyan W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 25/03 | Iva Ivanova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Lara Isabella Kralus W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/02 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Maya Prlja W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/02 | Yiru Chen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-7 | W |
| 18/02 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edda Mamedova vs Kristina Belkova?
Our model gives 71% to Edda Mamedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.