Tennis · W15 Astana · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Kamonwan Yodpetch vs Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Kamonwan Yodpetch; the market gives 75% to Kamonwan Yodpetch (odds 1.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Kamonwan Yodpetch sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Sandugash Kenzhibayeva arrives on a 2-8 run.
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamonwan Yodpetch 1504 · Sandugash Kenzhibayeva 1445
| Kamonwan Yodpetch | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kamonwan Yodpetch (rating 1504 vs 1445).
- Note: Sandugash Kenzhibayeva makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Kamonwan Yodpetch | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.6 | 8.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 52.9% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamonwan Yodpetch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Kanon Sawashiro W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Anchisa Chanta W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Chiara Di Tommaso W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/05 | Yuhan Liu W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Gyeong Seo Lee W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Tanuchaporn Yongmod W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/04 | Aishi Das W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 17/06 | Marina Markina W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Anna Yang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/05 | Daria Shubina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Liuyan An W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Lexue Xiao W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/03 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamonwan Yodpetch vs Sandugash Kenzhibayeva?
Our model gives 68% to Kamonwan Yodpetch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.