Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Andreea Prisacariu vs Kathinka Von Deichmann
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Andreea Prisacariu; the market gives 50% to Andreea Prisacariu (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Andreea Prisacariu is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kathinka Von Deichmann 4-6 over theirs.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andreea Prisacariu 1529 · Kathinka Von Deichmann 1457
| Andreea Prisacariu | Kathinka Von Deichmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andreea Prisacariu (rating 1529 vs 1457).
- Kathinka Von Deichmann dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 46.5% break avg.
- Andreea Prisacariu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Kathinka Von Deichmann makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Andreea Prisacariu | Kathinka Von Deichmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10 | 12.7-13.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andreea Prisacariu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Tatiana Pieri W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Angella Okutoyi W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Alice Tubello W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Lorena Schaedel W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Lola Giza W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Camilla Gennaro W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/06 | Lisa Peer W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Ylenia Zocco W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Nika Radisic WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Kathinka Von Deichmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Radka Zelnickova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Himeno Sakatsume French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Joanna Garland French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 24/04 | Alice Rame W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Adrienn Nagy W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Eva Bennemann W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andreea Prisacariu vs Kathinka Von Deichmann?
Our model gives 55% to Andreea Prisacariu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.