Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Martina Trevisan vs Katerina Tsygourova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Katerina Tsygourova; the market gives 75% to Martina Trevisan (odds 1.25).
Recent form leaves Martina Trevisan with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Katerina Tsygourova has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martina Trevisan 1492 · Katerina Tsygourova 1546
| Martina Trevisan | Katerina Tsygourova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katerina Tsygourova (rating 1492 vs 1546).
- Martina Trevisan dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 45.9% break avg.
- Note: Martina Trevisan makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Martina Trevisan | Katerina Tsygourova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.8 | 10.5-7.8 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 61% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martina Trevisan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Victoria Pohle W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Ania Hertel W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Mayar Sherif French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 18/05 | Gabriela Knutson French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Katerina Tsygourova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Fernanda Labrana W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Federica Urgesi W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Enola Chiesa W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Mina Hodzic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Alja Senica W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Milana Rasan-Buha W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Ziva Falkner W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martina Trevisan vs Katerina Tsygourova?
Our model gives 60% to Martina Trevisan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.