Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Valentina Steiner vs Sapfo Sakellaridi

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Valentina Steiner; the market gives 56% to Valentina Steiner (odds 1.67).

Over their last 10 matches, Valentina Steiner sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Sapfo Sakellaridi arrives on a 3-7 run.

61%1
61% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentina Steiner 1551 · Sapfo Sakellaridi 1429
Valentina SteinerSapfo Sakellaridi
Our model67%33%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Steiner (rating 1551 vs 1429).
  • Valentina Steiner is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Valentina SteinerSapfo Sakellaridi
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 13% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.80.8-1.4
Games (G-P)10.2-9.210-10.5
Aces0.53.6
Double faults3.53.1
1st serve %56.1%69.5%
Break %54.5%45.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valentina Steiner

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Maria Lourdes Carle
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
19/06 Lucie Petruzelova
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
18/06 Matylda Burylo
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Eva Bennemann
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
14/06 Tamila Gadamauri
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Marie Weckerle
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
11/06 Luna Maria Cinalli
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
10/06 Victoria Pohle
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/05 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W15 Szentendre · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Sonja Zhenikhova
W15 Szentendre · ~Clay
2-1 12-13 W

Sapfo Sakellaridi

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Elena Milovanovic
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-6 W
06/07 Martina Okalova
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-7 W
29/06 Alina Granwehr
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
23/06 Alina Granwehr
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
16/06 Pauline Dore
W75 Blois · ~Clay
1-2 14-14 L
10/06 Raluca Georgiana Serban
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
01/06 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Foggia · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
28/05 Valentina Ivanov
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/05 Isabelle Cherny
W35 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
21/05 Eva Marie Voracek
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentina Steiner vs Sapfo Sakellaridi?

Our model gives 61% to Valentina Steiner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.