Prediction: Xinyu Gao vs Daria Khomutsianskaya
See it on the live radar ↗Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Daria Khomutsianskaya; the market gives 63% to Xinyu Gao (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Xinyu Gao with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Daria Khomutsianskaya has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
| Xinyu Gao | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Khomutsianskaya (rating 1449 vs 1525).
- Xinyu Gao dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 45.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Xinyu Gao 0–1 Daria Khomutsianskaya (1).
- Note: Daria Khomutsianskaya makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Xinyu Gao | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.5 | 11.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 52.2% |
H2H · Xinyu Gao 0 – 1 Daria Khomutsianskaya (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinyu Gao 0–1 Daria Khomutsianskaya
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/23 ITF W25 Faro | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinyu Gao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Harmony Tan French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Darja Vidmanova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Polona Hercog WTA Huzhou · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/04 | Varvara Panshina W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Meiqi Guo W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/04 | Sitong Chen W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/04 | Susan Bandecchi W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Daria Khomutsianskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Linda Klimovicova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Yufei Ren W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Xi Luo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Jiangxue Han W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Sara Saito W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Chenting Zhu W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Yidi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Zongyu Li W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinyu Gao vs Daria Khomutsianskaya?
Our model gives 52% to Xinyu Gao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.