Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Olga Danilova vs Jian Ibrahim
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Olga Danilova; the market gives 89% to Olga Danilova (odds 1.05).
On recent form, Olga Danilova is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Jian Ibrahim 2-8 over theirs.
76%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olga Danilova 1481 · Jian Ibrahim 1414
| Olga Danilova | Jian Ibrahim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olga Danilova (rating 1481 vs 1414).
- Olga Danilova is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Olga Danilova | Jian Ibrahim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.5 | 5.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olga Danilova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Onalee Wagner W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Nada Fouad W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Joody Elkady W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Martyna Zaremba W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Nada Fouad W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Ankita Raina W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Anna Sedysheva W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Jian Ibrahim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Isabella Wong W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Aliesia Reva W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/12 | Briana Szabo W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Mariam Atia W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Valentine Coussens W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/10 | Alisa Ziatdinova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Feier Hu W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Martina Smolenova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olga Danilova vs Jian Ibrahim?
Our model gives 76% to Olga Danilova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.