Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 07/07, 12:30
Prediction: Valentina Khrebtova vs Ekua Youri
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Valentina Khrebtova; the market gives 58% to Ekua Youri (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Valentina Khrebtova is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ekua Youri 6-4 over theirs.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Khrebtova 1514 · Ekua Youri 1500
| Valentina Khrebtova | Ekua Youri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Valentina Khrebtova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Khrebtova | Ekua Youri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.2 | 10.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 62.4% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Khrebtova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Annemarie Lazar UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Leonie Schuknecht UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Zejda Veljacic UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Julie Jirakova UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/05 | Karina Dunda UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Abigail Wheeler W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/04 | Abhilasha Bista W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Ekua Youri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Onalee Wagner W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Lilitha S Ndungane W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Yasmine Kabbaj Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Angella Okutoyi Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Caterina Odorizzi W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Kira Pavlova ITF W35 Hillcrest · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Heike Janse Van Vuuren ITF W35 Hillcrest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Maria Mikhailova ITF W35 Hillcrest · Hard |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Khrebtova vs Ekua Youri?
Our model gives 53% to Ekua Youri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.