Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Farah Heddar vs Danielle Dai Chapman
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Danielle Dai Chapman; the market gives 88% to Danielle Dai Chapman (odds 1.07).
On recent form, Farah Heddar is 1-9 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Danielle Dai Chapman 7-3 over theirs.
76%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Farah Heddar 1435 · Danielle Dai Chapman 1514
| Farah Heddar | Danielle Dai Chapman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Danielle Dai Chapman (rating 1435 vs 1514).
- Danielle Dai Chapman is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Farah Heddar | Danielle Dai Chapman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.6-11.5 | 9.9-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 49.2% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Farah Heddar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Sasha Natalie Chimedza W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Ashton Bowers W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Weronika Falkowska W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Marjorie Souza W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/03 | Aliesia Reva W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Gaia Squarcialupi ITF W15 Melilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Marie Vogt W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Martyna Zaremba W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Danielle Dai Chapman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Sasha Natalie Chimedza W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Swasthika Arunkumar W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Emma Van Poppel W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Elena Jamshidi W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 05/05 | Morgan Jordaan W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/05 | Selina Atay W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 29/04 | Onalee Wagner W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Farah Heddar vs Danielle Dai Chapman?
Our model gives 76% to Danielle Dai Chapman, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.