Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Mika Buchnik vs Ashmitha Easwaramurthi

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 71% to Mika Buchnik; the market gives 94% to Mika Buchnik (odds 1.01).

Recent form leaves Mika Buchnik with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Ashmitha Easwaramurthi has piled up 1-9 in the same span.

84%1
84% 16%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mika Buchnik 1536 · Ashmitha Easwaramurthi 1377
Mika BuchnikAshmitha Easwaramurthi
Our model71%29%
Market94%6%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Buchnik (rating 1536 vs 1377).
  • Mika Buchnik is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Mika Buchnik makes many double faults (10.4/match).

Statistics

Mika BuchnikAshmitha Easwaramurthi
Win %60%0%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 0% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.20.1-2
Games (G-P)11.9-11.75.4-12.7
Aces0.40.2
Double faults10.43.8
1st serve %55.8%50.5%
Break %58.5%53.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mika Buchnik

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Marilouise Van Zyl
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
02/07 Michelle Dzjachangirova
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 Isabella Wong
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
22/05 Elena Jamshidi
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
21/05 Sofia Avataneo
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
20/05 Lan Mi
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-1 17-12 W
13/05 Maayan Laron
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 17-18 L
03/05 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W50 Lopota · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
22/03 Juliana Singeorzan
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/03 Natalie Oliver
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-1 15-15 W

Ashmitha Easwaramurthi

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Ashton Bowers
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
10/06 Aliesia Reva
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/06 Elizaveta Gurianova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
04/06 Anastasiya Krymkova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L
27/05 Kateryna Diatlova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/05 Valentina Khrebtova
W15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/04 Coco Bosman
W15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
22/04 Victoria Mulville
W15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
15/04 Anna-Lena Ebster
W15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
25/03 Zeel Desai
W15 Nagpur
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mika Buchnik vs Ashmitha Easwaramurthi?

Our model gives 84% to Mika Buchnik, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.