Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lan Mi vs Isabella Kruger
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Lan Mi; the market gives 61% to Isabella Kruger (odds 1.53).
Over their last 10 matches, Lan Mi sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Isabella Kruger arrives on a 9-1 run.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lan Mi 1570 · Isabella Kruger 1573
| Lan Mi | Isabella Kruger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lan Mi | Isabella Kruger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-7.7 | 11.9-6.6 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 61.2% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lan Mi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Katja Wiersholm W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Jana Hossam Salah W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Prathyusha Rachapudi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Isabella Kruger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Elena Jamshidi W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Jana Bozinovska Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/04 | Salma Loudili Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/04 | Yasmin Ezzat Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/04 | Denislava Glushkova Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/03 | Iulia Andreea Ionescu UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/02 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lan Mi vs Isabella Kruger?
Our model gives 56% to Isabella Kruger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.