Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 08/07, 12:30
Prediction: Taro Daniel vs Zdenek Kolar
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Taro Daniel; the market gives 56% to Taro Daniel (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Taro Daniel is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Zdenek Kolar 6-4 over theirs.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taro Daniel 1642 · Zdenek Kolar 1518
| Taro Daniel | Zdenek Kolar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taro Daniel (rating 1642 vs 1518).
- Zdenek Kolar dominates on serve: 10.7 aces and 56.7% break avg.
- Taro Daniel is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Taro Daniel 1–0 Zdenek Kolar (1).
Statistics
| Taro Daniel | Zdenek Kolar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.9 | 10.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 10.7 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Taro Daniel 1 – 0 Zdenek Kolar (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taro Daniel 1–0 Zdenek Kolar
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/20 ATP Sofia | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Tomas Lanik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Zdenek Kolar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Tom Gentzsch Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Jason Jung Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Ilya Snitari Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Coleman Wong French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 19/05 | James McCabe French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taro Daniel vs Zdenek Kolar?
Our model gives 61% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.