Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Martina Trevisan vs Victoria Pohle
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Martina Trevisan; the market gives 81% to Martina Trevisan (odds 1.14).
Over their last 10 matches, Martina Trevisan sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Victoria Pohle arrives on a 4-6 run.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martina Trevisan 1486 · Victoria Pohle 1489
| Martina Trevisan | Victoria Pohle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Martina Trevisan dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Note: Martina Trevisan makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Martina Trevisan | Victoria Pohle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.2 | 8.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martina Trevisan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Ania Hertel W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Mayar Sherif French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 18/05 | Gabriela Knutson French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Luisina Giovannini W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Victoria Pohle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Julia Stusek W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Mona Barthel W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Josy Daems W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Kailey Evans W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Laura Boehner W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Valentina Steiner W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Elena Milovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Jenny Lim W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Adriana Monlleo Ramos W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martina Trevisan vs Victoria Pohle?
Our model gives 67% to Martina Trevisan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.