Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 07/07, 10:30
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Nao Hibino; the market gives 56% to Nao Hibino (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Lucie Havlickova is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Nao Hibino 4-6 over theirs.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1452 · Nao Hibino 1497
| Lucie Havlickova | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nao Hibino (rating 1452 vs 1497).
- Lucie Havlickova dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 58.7% break avg.
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (1) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.4 | 10.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 7.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Jana Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Hibah Shaikh W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Darja Semenistaja W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Nao Hibino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Priscilla Hon Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Janice Tjen WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Mariam Bolkvadze WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino?
Our model gives 56% to Nao Hibino, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.