Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Kyoka Okamura vs Susan Bandecchi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Susan Bandecchi; the market gives 65% to Susan Bandecchi (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Kyoka Okamura with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Susan Bandecchi has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyoka Okamura 1463 · Susan Bandecchi 1539
| Kyoka Okamura | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Susan Bandecchi (rating 1463 vs 1539).
- Susan Bandecchi dominates on serve: 13 aces and 52.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Kyoka Okamura | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.5 | 12.9-13 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 13 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyoka Okamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Varvara Panshina W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Hiromi Abe W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Yanan Hou W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Valentina Ryser W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/05 | Katie Swan W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/05 | Momoko Kobori W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 15/05 | Mio Mushika W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Mina Miyahara W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/05 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Susan Bandecchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Katarina Kuzmova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Daria Kasatkina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/05 | Cristina Bucsa French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/05 | Viktoria Hruncakova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Dominika Salkova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Chloe Paquet French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 14/05 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyoka Okamura vs Susan Bandecchi?
Our model gives 63% to Susan Bandecchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.