Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Hina Inoue vs Cagla Buyukakcay
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Hina Inoue; the market gives 66% to Hina Inoue (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Hina Inoue sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Cagla Buyukakcay arrives on a 5-5 run.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hina Inoue 1555 · Cagla Buyukakcay 1535
| Hina Inoue | Cagla Buyukakcay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hina Inoue 1–0 Cagla Buyukakcay (1).
Statistics
| Hina Inoue | Cagla Buyukakcay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.3 | 11.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Hina Inoue 1 – 0 Cagla Buyukakcay (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hina Inoue 1–0 Cagla Buyukakcay
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/23 ITF W25 Guimaraes | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hina Inoue
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Anna Kubareva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Caterina Odorizzi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Peangtarn Plipuech W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/05 | Yidi Yang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Meiqi Guo W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Maria Kalyakina W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Cagla Buyukakcay
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Eva Alvarez Sande W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Sapir Cohen W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Lidia Encheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Selina Atay W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Eva Vedder W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Britt Du Pree W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Francesca Curmi W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/05 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hina Inoue vs Cagla Buyukakcay?
Our model gives 60% to Hina Inoue, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.