Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Deniz Dilek vs Valeria Savinykh
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Deniz Dilek; the market gives 58% to Deniz Dilek (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Deniz Dilek is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Valeria Savinykh 5-5 over theirs.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deniz Dilek 1608 · Valeria Savinykh 1497
| Deniz Dilek | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deniz Dilek (rating 1608 vs 1497).
- Deniz Dilek is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Deniz Dilek makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Deniz Dilek | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-6 | 8.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 62% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deniz Dilek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Aaddi Gupta W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Minel Naz Kaynak W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Daria Lokotkova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Polina Skopintseva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Valeria Savinykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ankita Raina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Marina Davtyan W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/04 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Luzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/04 | Ma Ruoxi W35 Luzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 29/03 | Aliona Falei W100 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 20/03 | Sohyun Park W35 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 19/03 | Dayeon Back W35 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/03 | Kamilla Bartone W35 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deniz Dilek vs Valeria Savinykh?
Our model gives 61% to Deniz Dilek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.