Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Gabriela Knutson vs Han Shi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Han Shi; the market gives 59% to Han Shi (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Gabriela Knutson with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Han Shi has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriela Knutson 1509 · Han Shi 1618
| Gabriela Knutson | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1509 vs 1618).
- Gabriela Knutson dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 47.2% break avg.
- Han Shi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Gabriela Knutson | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.3 | 12-8 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriela Knutson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Valentina Ryser W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Leilany Ipunesso W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Olga Danilova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Joanna Garland WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/05 | Martina Trevisan French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Micic W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Madalena Matias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Eva Vedder W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | JiaYi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriela Knutson vs Han Shi?
Our model gives 62% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.