Prediction: Veronika Podrez vs Manon Leonard
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Veronika Podrez; the market gives 73% to Veronika Podrez (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Veronika Podrez sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Manon Leonard arrives on a 4-6 run.
| Veronika Podrez | Manon Leonard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veronika Podrez (rating 1521 vs 1472).
- Note: Veronika Podrez makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Veronika Podrez | Manon Leonard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.7 | 8-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 41.4% |
H2H · Veronika Podrez 1 – 1 Manon Leonard (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Veronika Podrez 1–1 Manon Leonard
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 W75 Andrezieux-Boutheon | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 03/10/24 ITF W35 Reims | 1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Veronika Podrez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Valeria Savinykh W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Maria Timofeeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Arantxa Rus Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Dominika Salkova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Sloane Stephens WTA Paris · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/05 | Hanyu Guo WTA Paris · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Manon Leonard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Katherine Sebov W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Alice Gillan W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Himeno Sakatsume French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Sada Nahimana W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 11/05 | Helena Muzinic W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Veronika Podrez vs Manon Leonard?
Our model gives 66% to Veronika Podrez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.