Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Carol Young Suh Lee
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Carol Young Suh Lee; the market gives 84% to Carol Young Suh Lee (odds 1.11).
On recent form, Sonja Zhiyenbayeva is 2-8 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Carol Young Suh Lee 4-6 over theirs.
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1458 · Carol Young Suh Lee 1519
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Carol Young Suh Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carol Young Suh Lee (rating 1458 vs 1519).
- Carol Young Suh Lee dominates on serve: 6 aces and 56.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Carol Young Suh Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.4 | 11-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/06 | JiaYi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Yexin Ma W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Rina Saigo W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Varvara Panshina W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 10/04 | Bianca Andreescu Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/02 | Eryn Cayetano W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Carol Young Suh Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Sloane Stephens French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Sada Nahimana W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/04 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Carol Young Suh Lee?
Our model gives 73% to Carol Young Suh Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.