Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 07/07, 13:30

Prediction: Rina Saigo vs Elyse Tse

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Rina Saigo; the market gives 86% to Rina Saigo (odds 1.10).

Recent form leaves Rina Saigo with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Elyse Tse has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

70%1
70% 30%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rina Saigo 1510 · Elyse Tse 1505
Rina SaigoElyse Tse
Our model51%49%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Elyse Tse makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Rina SaigoElyse Tse
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10.6-11.18.9-10
Aces1.72.3
Double faults2.74
1st serve %57.2%62.8%
Break %62.1%48.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rina Saigo

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/06 Tiana Tian Deng
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
10/06 Ekaterina Maklakova
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
06/06 Yufei Ren
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
05/06 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
04/06 Jiaqi Wang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
02/06 Eunhye Lee
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/05 Haruka Kaji
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/05 Sohyun Park
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
1-1 7-6 W
19/05 Yufei Ren
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/05 Natsumi Kawaguchi
W75 Kurume · ~Carpet
0-2 10-13 L

Elyse Tse

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-6 W
05/07 Emma Cohen
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Eugenia Zozaya Menendez
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/06 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Madrid
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Shannon Lam
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
02/06 Carla Guerrero Calvo
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
2-1 12-12 W
28/05 Franziska Sziedat
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
27/05 Analu Freitas
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
15/05 Patcharin Cheapchandej
W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
1-2 9-16 L
14/05 Yatawee Chimchum
W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rina Saigo vs Elyse Tse?

Our model gives 70% to Rina Saigo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.